Tuesday, Oct 30, 2012

We introduce a simple way to generate random signals having correlations and many large jumps.
Properly tuned, this is a cartoon of stock market behavior.
Additionally we see that a multifractal rescaling of time can separate the effects of large jumps and long-term correlations.
Random Fractal Cartoons Surprisingly simple cartoons can capture both the dependence on history of fractional Brownian motion, and the prevelance of large steps of Levy flights.
These cartoons provide remarkably good surrogates of the stock market. Even experienced brokers cannot distinguish real data from fakes generated by the cartoons. Moreover, careful study of the cartoons reveals a way to disentangle the effects of history and big jumps, by rescaling time.