1 Use driven IFS to analyze the dollar-Deutschmark exchange rate. |
(a) Plot the IFS driven by the time series using equal size bins. Do you get a backwards Z? | (b) Use equal weight bins. Does this remove the backwards Z? |
Answers |
2 (a) Analyze the one-step difference using equal-size bins. | (b) Analyze the one-step difference using equal-weight bins. |
Answers |
3 (a) Analyze the one-step difference using zero-centered bins, with
B1 and B3 one-half
the maximum distance from |
(b) Repeat with B1 and B3 one-quarter
the maximum distance from |
Answers |
4. Try a similar experiment with one of the other financial data samples, and the affine cartoon data samples. |
Adjust the bin boundaries of both to get a good match. |
What can you learn about the data from looking at the cartoon IFS? |
Does this approach have any predictive power? |
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